An independent project that measures how far a language model can be shrunk before quality drops, and what each cut costs. No lab, on a single 8 GB consumer graphics card.
Open base model Qwen2.5-1.5B (Alibaba). Sizes in GiB (the unit Windows shows as GB), measured on the real file. Score on the MMLU test with 1,000 questions, on the same yardstick for every model, measured before the conversion to GGUF; the conversion was checked in llama.cpp.
The project's first phase tested a new architecture that reuses the same processing blocks several times. It shrank the model and kept almost all of its quality, but a stricter control showed that an ordinary model of the same size ties or wins. The thesis was retracted.
Since then the question changed: instead of inventing a smaller model, shrink open models that already exist until they fit in about 1 GB, and measure rigorously how much quality is left at each size.
Size of the original model (light bar, 16 bits per parameter) and of the compressed version (amber bar, measured on the file written to disk), in GiB.
Score on the MMLU general-knowledge test (1,000 questions), as a percentage of the original model's score. The more a model is shrunk relative to its original, the more score it loses. On a 4-option test, guessing already scores 25%.